Week 9 NFL Picks

The first month of the season is really difficult as far as picking games in the NFL goes. No one is quite what you thought they’d be and there’s a feeling out period for everyone. Once we get into October and closer to Halloween, teams have settled into what they are, and we, as fans and bettors, feel much better about projecting winners and losers week-to-week. But then, our love-hate relationship with match-ups and point spreads gets ugly again for a week or two thanks to the trade deadline. Teams are much more willing to make deals in the last few years then in the past. And yes, it’s fun and it’s an exciting element we are rewarded with for following the sports; however, it puts everything we thought we knew and understood in limbo. We kind of have to start over — who
is this team, REALLY and how much better are they now with Player X? And will Player X make an impact this week…or next week….when???

Although my record against the spread last week (6-8) would indicate I haven’t really figured much out so what’s the swapping of some players to different teams really going to do to my (in)ability to pick games? For the season, I’m 50-50-5 (ATS), and after another 11-3 week straight up, I’m at 71-33. Let’s see how week 9 goes.

The Most Watchable Games You’ll Get All Year

Rams at New Orleans (-1.5)

This has NFC Championship Game written all over it. Both offenses are outstanding and coached by two of the most innovative minds on that side of the ball that the NFL can offer. Which defense can do a little bit more, though? Saints have playmakers and I expect them to show up. The Rams are 8-0, but they have to prove themselves in big, close games that they have to battle. Saints, 30-27

Green Bay (+6.5) at New England

Throw all the stats and numbers and match-ups out the window. This is Tom Brady versus Aaron Rodgers, plain and simple. Period. Brady makes one more play than A-Rod at Foxboro. Patriots, 34-31

I Mean, They’re Not Awesome, But We Can Watch

Pittsburgh (+3) at Baltimore

History says this one will be a slugfest, but these two offenses are the ground and pound of years past. The Steelers are the more balanced attack thanks to the emergence of James Connor. Steelers, 30-24

Detroit (+5) at Minnesota

So Lions fans are upset because Bob Quinn flipped Golden Tate and his expiring deal for a third round draft pick. News to Lions fans — you weren’t re-signing Tate and you’re not contending this year. Take the draft pick and run. As for this game, I like the match-up for the Lions: (1) Minnesota’s defense can be thrown on; (2) the Vikings throw the ball more than they run it (and that’s good because the Lions can’t stop the run); and (3) the Vikings offensive line has holes. The question is can the Lions take advantage of these areas. Maybe not, but it should be close. Vikings, 27-23

Tampa Bay at Carolina (-7)

Fitzmagic is back, but Cam’s got a little magic as well. Newton has put himself in the MVP conversation — and deservedly so. His 66% completion rate and 10 sacks through 7 games are career-bests. Cam and his numbers look better than his 2015 MVP season, when the Panthers ruled the NFC with a 15-1 record. Until he regresses, I’m not picking against him. Panthers, 31-20

Chargers (+1.5) at Seattle

I know Seattle has won 4 of 5 and have a renewed commitment to running the ball. But the Chargers are pretty good so this line makes me side-eye it. I like and appreciate how Seattle has transformed their offense on the fly after the 0-2 start to the year. But give me the better team. Let’s keep it simple. Chargers, 27-10

Please Don’t Ask Me to Watch 

Chicago at Buffalo (+10)

Ahhh, the long awaited return of Nathan Peterman. Here we go!! It’s not like the Bears have some unstoppable offense, but it’s Nate Peterman. You’ve got to assume 3 picks and one will be a pick-6, right? The Bears offense might only need one touchdown in order to cover the ten. Bears, 20-6

Kansas City (-8) at Cleveland

The upheaval in Cleveland will not help matters this week, although for the long term, clearly our boy, Hue, had to go. Gregg Williams’s head coaching abilities will be on full display Sunday. Get your popcorn ready!! Chiefs, 31-20

Atlanta (+2) at Washington

Talk about two teams on opposite ends of the spectrum. Atlanta’s air attack can score at will, but injuries have ravaged their defense; while Washington prides themselves on the old school theory — run the ball and stop the run. Matt Ryan should be able to find the holes in the Skins secondary, which is the weak link on that defense. Falcons, 28-24

Tennessee (+6.5) at Dallas

Wow, the Cowboys are getting some respect from Vegas!! I’m not sure Dallas can afford to give any team 6.5 points. But what has this Titans done lately? Nada. This line might be about right, but I don’t think either offense can separate from the other. And if I need a tiebreaker, give me Mike Vrabel over Jason Garrett. Titans, 20-17

Houston (+2.5) at Denver

I do not understand what Vegas thinks of the Texans. The past two weeks they were huge favorites over Buffalo and Miami (they covered one of the two), and now after reeling off five straight wins, they’re 2.5-point dogs in Denver? This line stinks and I’d be nervous about betting it. But I can’t take Denver — they’re done and they know it. Texans, 24-17

I Openly Refuse to Watch

Oakland (+3) at San Francisco

The Toilet Bowl Game of the Year!!! The Battle of the Bay!!! I don’t have anything to say. 49ers, 15-11 sounds about right

Jets (+3) at Miami

The promising 3-0 start by the Dolphins is long gone and so is Ryan Tannehill, it appears. This whole thing seems really strange and not good for the QB’s future — which was already shaky — in Miami. Dolphins should be eyeing quarterback prospects in the draft. That said, the Jets are exactly scaring anyone either. The home team should play well enough in a game that probably doesn’t feature too many points. Dolphins, 20-19


Thanks for reading. Subscribe to the Sports Talk Center blog and you can receive emails when content is updated. Also, follow me on Twitter @brian22goodwin. You can also subscribe and download the Sports Talk Center Podcast, wherever you get your podcasts from: Apple iTunes, Stitcher, TuneIn, Google Play, or Spotify. Just subscribe, download, listen, and enjoy.

Listen to Episode 93 (“Playoff Feel to Some Week 9 NFL  Games”):

Facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestlinkedinmail

Author: Brian Goodwin

An educator for 15 years. I have a passion for sports and a passion for writing about sports. I'm very excited to run this blog and have conversations with people about relevant topics, mostly pertaining to sports but also in all aspects of life.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.